You are here: Home: BCU 1 | 2006 Think Tank: Section 3:
Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy
for Patients with
ER-Positive Tumors
Select Excerpts from the Discussion Tracks 1, 3
DR BUZDAR: I believe the most effective therapy for patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer should be offered up front. We are now looking at more than 30,000 patients who have been randomly assigned in the aromatase inhibitor trials, which clearly demonstrate that it doesn’t matter where we put the aromatase inhibitors; they have better efficacy, a reduced risk of recurrence and a better safety profile. The most effective therapy should be offered up front to these patients. If we look at the ATAC trial, which has the longest follow-up — and all of the other studies show the same thing — among patients with receptor-positive disease, initial endocrine therapy with an aromatase inhibitor reduces the risk of recurrence by 26 percent. The absolute number, at six years, is about 3.7 percent more women alive and free of disease if we start with an aromatase inhibitor (Howell 2005). BIG 1-98 shows a similar type of benefit (Thürlimann 2005). At times, physicians become confused when they see the proportional reductions in the studies that were initiated after two to three years or after the completion of five years of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy. You are comparing apples to oranges. You cannot take that type of data and compare it to the up-front data because in those types of studies, the patient population is different because the patients at high risk have relapsed. We can also reduce the risk of recurrence if we start an aromatase inhibitor after two to three years of tamoxifen. This is a proportional reduction because the continuation of tamoxifen therapy is inferior to switching the patient to an aromatase inhibitor (Boccardo 2005; Coombes 2004; Jakesz 2005). The ATAC data show about 40 additional events in the first 2.5 years, which include distant and local recurrences (Baum 2003). I am not aware of any way to select those patients to whom we can safely offer tamoxifen therapy. DR RAVDIN: Disease-free survival is always better on the aromatase inhibitor arm in all these trials, and the number of deaths is small and not statistically significant. When you have a disease-free survival advantage, that means overall you have more patients surviving. Irrespective of whether some of those patients drop off because of toxicity, patients on average are doing better at later time points. Tracks 4, 5, 7
DR BUZDAR: Richard Gray took the published events in the adjuvant aromatase inhibitor trials — he did not have access to individual data points or the patients’ information — and assessed disease-free survival and recurrences. Then he assessed deaths from cancer and noncompeting causes. Twenty percent fewer breast cancer deaths occurred among the patients treated with the aromatase inhibitors compared to the patients who were on tamoxifen or placebo, and the confidence interval did not include one. Also, without question, every study shows a disease-free survival advantage with the aromatase inhibitors compared to tamoxifen, and the side effects are predictable compared to the unpredictable side effects that cannot be prevented with tamoxifen. DR OSBORNE: I don’t think we can be so dogmatic about this issue. We have 25 million patient-years of exposure to tamoxifen. I don’t know how many we have for an aromatase inhibitor, but it’s probably a twentieth. We don’t know what’s going to happen after five years with an aromatase inhibitor. You can guess that there won’t be any more long-term side effects, but we don’t know. We can’t make dogmatic statements about which sequence is best in the absence of any information on toxicity or benefit. Given the information from the ATAC trial with hormone receptor analyses and the models suggesting the possibility of a huge benefit for tamoxifen followed by an aromatase inhibitor, depending on what happens after five years, I think we have to be open to the idea that either of these strategies might, in the end, be worthwhile. DR BURSTEIN: I continue to find MA17 to be the most intellectually fascinating of the adjuvant endocrine trials because it has shown us two things. First, it has shown that treatment beyond five years changes the natural history of the disease (Goss 2005a). That’s been a very powerful finding. Second, the more recent data suggest that even gaps in the treatment can be followed up by late interventions (Goss 2005b). This is forcing us to realize that we’re talking about a disease in which the outcomes matter over years five, 10 and 15, something that the most recent overview also suggested. Tracks 10-15
DR HUDIS: The interesting thing about MA17 (Goss 2005a) and now MA17R (Goss 2005b) is the notion that you can reduce that hazard rate at almost any time in those first 10 years and maybe longer. This is motivation for chronic suppressive therapy. I have a bias toward leaving patients on a therapy that they’re tolerating. We stop tamoxifen for two reasons. One, we had clear evidence of accumulating toxicity, which we have yet to garner with the aromatase inhibitors, but it could be there. Two, we had one randomized trial that failed to demonstrate benefit (Fisher 2001). DR RAVDIN: I believe it’s analogous to the situation with five years of tamoxifen. Patients were reluctant to stop tamoxifen when we didn’t have any data, and many elected to stay on the therapy. In this situation, we do have randomized trials that are addressing this question. I trust that the Data and Safety Monitoring Committees will stop those trials, the way they stopped the tamoxifen trials, if evidence appears of bad effects.
DR BURSTEIN: We’ve created a very awkward situation. If a woman begins an aromatase inhibitor up front, she receives five years of adjuvant endocrine therapy. If she were to come to you having started on tamoxifen, then after five years of treatment she would receive 10 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy. If she switched somewhere in between, she would receive either five or 10 years, depending on how you look at the literature. That seems somehow inconsistent. Tracks 12-14
DR OSBORNE: One important issue is whether HER2 overexpression and PR loss predict for less benefit from tamoxifen than from an aromatase inhibitor. To me, the data are overwhelming that PR status predicts for response to tamoxifen. In a prospectively designed SWOG trial published by Peter, patients with metastatic disease were treated with tamoxifen. The trial was designed to address the value of PR status. On multivariate analysis, PR status was found to be an independent predictor (Ravdin 1992). That was the first prospective trial following another five or 10 studies published in the early 1980s and late 1970s suggesting that patients with PR-negative disease responded less well to tamoxifen. What about HER2 overexpression and tamoxifen? Most, but not all, studies show less benefit if HER2 is overexpressed. Preclinical studies strongly support the clinical data. So I tend to believe the majority of the clinical data, along with the biology, that HER2 does predict for less responsiveness to tamoxifen. We have very little data with the aromatase inhibitors. We have three separate neoadjuvant trials (Ellis 2001; Smith 2005; Zhu 2004) and a fourth (Dixon 2004) from Mike Dixon’s group in Edinburgh that show very similar results. Whether it is letrozole or anastrozole, the responses are really quite good for patients with HER2-positive disease. DR SLEDGE: I find the ER-PR data interesting biologically. Having said that, I don’t know how much real-world relevance it has because I can’t pick out any population of patients in whom tamoxifen does better than an aromatase inhibitor. Because of that, my default — unless it’s going to be the oddball patient who can’t tolerate an aromatase inhibitor for some reason — will be to use an aromatase inhibitor. Tracks 19, 20
DR WINER: The issue of ovarian suppression with an aromatase inhibitor is being addressed in the SOFT and TEXT trials. At least some reason exists to be concerned that this could possibly be an inferior strategy. In a woman who has a high level of estrogen in the premenopausal state, the estrogen levels go down after she receives ovarian suppression. Then adding an aromatase inhibitor and taking a woman down to extremely low levels of estrogen may add benefit. It’s also possible that taking those two steps down is, in fact, no better than a single step. Of course, from a toxicity standpoint — as I think we’re learning from both TEXT and SOFT — that deep plunge into not only menopause but menopause and an aromatase inhibitor is a pretty tough maneuver for most of these patients. So for premenopausal women, I would strongly argue against using ovarian suppression and an aromatase inhibitor as an up-front strategy outside of a clinical trial. What about the use of an aromatase inhibitor for a woman who is premenopausal at diagnosis, stops cycling soon after diagnosis and is now on tamoxifen for two years? This situation is much more analogous to the postmenopausal woman. She has now been without premenopausal levels of estrogen for two years. It is more likely that substituting an aromatase inhibitor for tamoxifen after two years could be of additional benefit. We don’t know that from any of the clinical trials that have been performed, but it seems more rational. However, we’ve all seen in practice — and Hal actually has a whole series of these women — patients who have been without menstrual cycles for a couple of years go off tamoxifen and start cycling again. DR HUDIS: I believe we’re wrong to treat patients with aromatase inhibitors who are in their mid forties and had no periods while on tamoxifen. The random sampling of their estradiol and FSH does nothing to change that. DR OSBORNE: We’ve started measuring them, and I’m totally flabbergasted by the number of patients who are amenorrheic, even in their late forties, early fifties, who still have premenopausal levels of estrogen. DR BURSTEIN: The point is that amenorrhea is menopause, but that’s not a very good definition for treating patients with aromatase inhibitors. We began to notice some patients — all of whom were women in their forties who had chemotherapy-induced amenorrhea — who were thought biochemically or on strong clinical grounds to be truly menopausal and were put on an aromatase inhibitor. Usually, within six to 18 months they began to have menstruation again or had biochemical evidence of residual ovarian function, suggesting that they were not obtaining a therapeutic gain from an aromatase inhibitor. |
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