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Home: Oncology Leader Commentary: Sir Richard Peto, MD

Click on the topic below for comments by Dr Richard Peto to comment on. You will also find links to related articles and clinical trials.

2000 meta-analysis
Tamoxifen in younger women
Tamoxifen plus chemotherapy
Tamoxifen and second cancers
Tamoxifen in ER-negative patients
Duration of tamoxifen
ATLAS trial; Adjuvant Tamoxifen Longer Against Shorter
Breast cancer recurrence in the second decade after diagnosis
Declining breast cancer mortality rates
Effects of local therapy on breast cancer mortality


Tamoxifen and second cancers

Interview with Neil Love, MD Breast Cancer Update for Medical Oncologists, Program 6 2000

Play Audio Below:

Tamoxifen can cause cancer in the endometrium, but it can prevent cancer in the opposite breast. And the number of new cancers that it prevents is greater than the number of new cancers that it causes. So, its net effect in terms of new cancers is to prevent, rather than to cause. But it definitely can cause cancer of the endometrium. Most of those endometrial cancers don’t cause death, but some do. The total risk of death from the side effects of tamoxifen is about 3 per 1,000. If you give five years of tamoxifen, then the risk that those five years of tamoxifen will actually cause death from endometrial cancer or pulmonary embolus is about 3 per 1,000. But, the probability that those five years of tamoxifen will prevent death is more like about 90 per 1,000. So, in terms of life and death, tamoxifen does 30 times more good than harm for a woman with ER+ disease. If you’ve got very low-risk ER+ disease, it’s still going to be doing quite a lot more good than harm.

Now, these contralateral cancers — the cancers in the opposite breast that are being prevented while you’re giving tamoxifen — it’s approximately halving the incidence of cancer in the opposite breast if you give five years of tamoxifen. And even in the years after you stop your five years of tamoxifen, there’s a carryover benefit. You still have a somewhat lower incidence rate of contralateral breast cancer. You never get to a situation where the incidence of contralateral breast cancer is greater in those who’d received tamoxifen than in those who didn’t. So, there’s no evidence of any overshoot. You get prevention, and then the rates stay either lower or eventually, perhaps, they become parallel at around 15 years. We don’t have enough data beyond there, but it does seem as though you’re actually reducing the number that are ever going to arise, of cancers in the opposite breasts.

Relevant Articles:

Selective estrogen receptor modulators: Structure, function, and clinical use [Review].
Osborne, C. K. and Fuqua, S. A. W. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 18(17):3172-3186, 2000 Sep.

Differences in immunoreactivity of estrogen receptor (ER) in tamoxifen-sensitiveand -resistant breast carcinomas: preclinical and first clinical investigations.
Naundorf, H.; Jost-Reuhl, B.; Becker, M.; Reuhl, T.; Neumann, C., and Fichtner, I. (Reprint available from: Fichtner I Max Delbruck Ctr Mol Med Robert Rossle Str 10 D-13125 Berlin Germany).. Breast Cancer Research & Treatment. 60(1):81-92, 2000 Mar.

Development and characterization of a tamoxifen resistant breast carcinoma xenograft.
Naundorf, H.; Becker, M.; Lykkesfeldt, A. E.; Elbe, B.; Neumann, C.; Buttner, B., and Fichtner, I (Reprint available from: Fichtner I Max Delbruck Ctr Mol Med Robert Rossle Str 10 D-13092 Berlin Germany).. British Journal of Cancer. 82(11):1844-1850, 2000 Jun.

Combined treatment with buserelin and tamoxifen in premenopausal metastatic breast cancer: A randomized study.
Klijn, J. G. M.; Beex LVAM; Mauriac, L.; van Zijl, J. A.; Veyret, C.; Wildiers, J.; Jassem, J.; Piccart, M.; Burghouts, J.; Becquart, D.; Seynaeve, C.; Mignolet, F., and Duchateau, L. (Reprint available from: Klijn JGM Dr Daniel den Hoed Klin, Rotterdam Canc Inst, Dept Med Oncol Groene Hilledijk 301 NL-3075 EA Rotterdam Netherlands). Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 92(11):903-911, 2000 Jun 7.

Effects of high dose raloxifene in selected patients with advanced breast carcinoma.
Gradishar, W.; Glusman, J.; Lu, Y.; Vogel, C.; Cohen, F. J., and Sledge, G. W. Cancer. 88(9):2047-2053, 2000 May 1.

Effects of adjuvant tamoxifen on the endometrium in postmenopausal women with breast cancer: A prospective long-term study using transvaginal ultrasound.
Gerber, B.; Krause, A.; Muller, H.; Reimer, T.; Kulz, T.; Makovitzky, J.; Kundt, G., and Friese, K. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 18(20):3464-3470, 2000 Oct 15.

Results of two or five years of adjuvant tamoxifen correlated to steroid receptor and S-phase levels.
Ferno, M.; Stal, O.; Baldetrop, B.; Hatschek, T.; Kallstrom, A. C.; Malmstrom, P.; Nordenskjold, B., and Ryden, S.. Breast Cancer Research & Treatment. 59(1):69-76, 2000 Jan.

Tamoxifen adjuvant treatment duration in early breast cancer: Initial results of a randomized study comparing short-term treatment with long-term treatment.
Delozier, T.; Spielmann, M.; Mace-Lesec'h, J.; Janvier, M.; Hill, C.; Asselain, B.; Julien, J. P.; Weber, B.; Mauriac, L.; Petit, J. C.; Kerbrat, P.; Malhaire, J. P.; Vennin, P.; Leduc, B., and Namer, M.. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 18(20):3507-3512, 2000 Oct 15.

Biomarkers and outcome after tamoxifen treatment in node-positive breast cancers from elderly women.
Daidone, M. G.; Luisi, A.; Martelli, G.; Benini, E.; Veneroni, S.; Tomasic, G.; De Palo G, and Silvestrini, R. (Reprint available from: Daidone MG Ist Nazl Studio & Cura Tumori Via Venezian 1 I-20133 Milan Italy). British Journal of Cancer. 82(2):270-277, 2000 Jan.

Effect of adjuvant tamoxifen on the endometrium in women with breast cancer: A prospective study using office endometrial biopsy.
Barakat, R. R.; Gilewski, T. A.; Almadrones, L.; Saigo, P. E.; Venkatraman, E.; Hudis, C., and Hoskins, W. J. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 18(20):3459-3463, 2000 Oct 15.

Surveillance for uterine abnormalities in tamoxifen-treated breast carcinoma survivors - A community-based study.
Althuis, M. D.; Sexton, M.; Langenberg, P.; Bush, T. L.; Tkaczuk, K.; Magaziner, J., and Khoo, L. Cancer. 89(4):800-810, 2000 Aug 15.

Similarities and distinctions in the mode of action of different classes of antioestrogens [Review].
Wakeling, A. E. Endocrine-Related Cancer. 7(1):17-28, 2000 Mar. No abstract

Approaches targeted to estrogen receptors for treatment of tamoxifen-resistant breast cancer: A brief overview.
Terakawa, N. (Reprint available from: Terakawa N Tottori Univ, Sch Med, Dept Obstet & Gynecol Yonago Tottori 683 Japan).. Oncology. 59(Suppl 1):3-4, 2000. No abstract

Preliminary assessment of cognitive function in breast cancer patients treated with tamoxifen.
Paganini-Hill, A. and Clark, L. J. Breast Cancer Res.earch & Treatment. 64(2):165-176, 2000 Nov.

Symposium overview: Estrogens and antiestrogens in managing the patient with breast cancer.
Newman, L. A.; Wood, W. C.; Sellin, R. V.; Morrow, M.; Vogel, C., and Singletary, S. E. (Reprint available from: Singletary SE Univ Texas, MD Anderson Canc Ctr, Dept Surg Oncol 1515 Holcombe Blvd,Box 106 Houston, TX 77030 USA).. Annals of Surgical Oncology. 7(8):568-574, 2000 Sep. In process

The ovary: cysts, screening, and tamoxifen.
Mourits, M. J. E.; van der Zee, A. G. J.; Willemse, P. H. B., and de Vries, E. G. E. (Reprint available from: de Vries EGE Univ Groningen Hosp, Dept Med Oncol POB 30 001 NL-9700 RB Groningen Netherlands). Lancet. 355(9220):2078-2079, 2000 Jun 10.

Concentrations of tamoxifen and its major metabolites in hormone
responsive and resistant breast tumours.
MacCallum, J.; Cummings, J.; Dixon, J. M., and Miller, W. R. (Reprint available from: MacCallum J Napier Univ, Dept Life Sci Merchiston Campus,Colinton Rd Edinburgh EH10 5DT Midlothian Scotland).. British Journal of Cancer. 82(10):1629-1635, 2000 May.

How is tamoxifen's action subverted?
Jordan, V. C. (Reprint available from: Jordan VC Northwestern Univ, Sch Med, Rober H Lurie Comprehens Canc Ctr 303 E Chicago Ave,Olson Pavil 8258 Chicago, IL 60611 USA). Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 92(2):92-94, 2000 Jan 19. No abstract

Serum lipid levels during and after adjuvant toremifene or tamoxifen therapy for breast cancer.
Joensuu, H.; Holli, K.; Oksanen, H., and Valavaara, R. (Reprint available from: Joensuu H Univ Helsinki, Cent Hosp, Dept Oncol Haartmaninkatu 4,POB 180 FIN-00029 Helsinki Finland). Breast Cancer Research & Treatment. 63(3):225-234, 2000 Oct. In process

One step forward or one step back with tamoxifen?
Gelmon, K. (Reprint available from: Gelmon K British Columbia Canc Agcy Vancouver BC V5Z 4E6 Canada). Lancet. 356(9233):868-869, 2000 Sep 9. No abstract

Endometrial protection from tamoxifen-stimulated changes by a evonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine system: a randomised controlled trial.
Gardner, F. J. E.; Konje, J. C.; Abrams, K. R.; Brown, L. J. R.; Khanna, S.; Al-Azzawi, F.; Bell, S. C., and Taylor, D. J.. Lancet. 356(9243):1711-1717, 2000 Nov 18. No abstract

Combined endocrine therapy for breast cancer - New life for an old idea?
Davidson, N. E. (Reprint available from: Davidson NE Johns Hopkins Oncol Ctr 1650 Orleans St, Rm 409 Baltimore, MD 21231 USA). Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 92(11):859-860, 2000 Jun 7. No abstract

Risk and prognosis of endometrial cancer after tamoxifen for breast cancer.
Bergman, L.; Beelen, M. L. R.; Gallee, M. P. W.; Hollema, H.; Benraadt, J., and van LeeuwenF. E.. Lancet. 356(9233):881-887, 2000 Sep 9. IN PROCESS

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