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The publication of NSABP P-1 brought the issue of chemoprevention in high-risk women to the forefront of attention in both the press and the medical literature. While tamoxifen was found clearly to reduce the incidence of breast cancer in high-risk women by about 50%, NSABP P-2 (the STAR trial) is now evaluating the SERM, raloxifene, in this setting. The recent presentation of the initial ATAC trial results demonstrating an advantage to anastrozole over tamoxifen in contralateral cancers hints towards future trials of the aromatase inhibitors in the chemoprevention setting. Ultimately, with multiple effective agents, issues of toxicity and side effects will be paramount. IMPLICATIONS OF ATAC CONTRALATERAL DATA FOR PREVENTION The odds ratio for the reduction of contralateral breast cancer favoring anastrozole over tamoxifen is 0.42, and the difference emerges within one year. So, there is a staggering 58% reduction over tamoxifen. Tamoxifen can produce a 50% reduction long term. If these findings hold up, we can add another 60% reduction on top of the 50%, and this starts translating into potentially very significant chemoprevention of breast cancer. Michael Baum, ChM, FRCS The ATAC results are very important for the IBIS 2 prevention trial. The ATAC data, particularly on the safety profile, was necessary before the final approval. Now that the data is available, Im confident that we will be able to proceed rather rapidly with the trial, comparing anastrozole to tamoxifen to placebo in high-risk women and those with DCIS. Jack Cuzick, PhD From the ATAC data weve seen, we would expect that anastrozole will dramatically decrease the number of breast cancers and should be superior to tamoxifen in the prevention setting. In addition, in terms of toxicity although the DVT, pulmonary embolus and stroke risk associated with tamoxifen were just seen in postmenopausal women, anastrozole doesnt result in these conditions, which can cause death. J Michael Dixon, MD, FRCS The main safety concerns with tamoxifen are the agonist effects (i.e., risk of thromboembolic complications and small risk of endometrial cancer). Theres no question that the safety profile of anastrozole is much better than tamoxifen. Anastrozole is an agent with almost nonexistent side effects at least in the preliminary analysis of the data making it a very attractive agent to be evaluated in the prevention setting. Aman Buzdar, MD NSABP P-2: THE STAR TRIAL There is a great deal of enthusiasm for this trial, and an enormous amount of credit has to go to the NSABP members who are committed to moving the state-of-the-art forward. Thats their primary commitment, and it was the primary commitment of the 13,388 selfless and courageous women who entered the P-1 trial. I believe that there will be 22,000 more women out there who will enter P-2. Norman Wolmark, MD
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